Dorian - Carolina Threat?

Its gonna survive. The left hook is what matters. The strength and orientation of that high pressure will be the deciding factor. Right now a Florida hit is most likely as the models dont seem to come off that sharp left and strong ridge.

Could be a disaster for Florida. It doesnt seem to have weakened at all.

I think its very possible it could follow a floyd like track.

Euro now says it wont hit anyone. East of hatteras and no FLA landfall.

Chances of a recurve are going up. You will likely still see some good winds but the trend is east so in 5 days this thing might be 200 miles offshore.

Several models landfall it south of here but its also going to fall apart when it turns north.