I think if it does survive florida and into the GOM is most likely.
Its gonna survive. The left hook is what matters. The strength and orientation of that high pressure will be the deciding factor. Right now a Florida hit is most likely as the models dont seem to come off that sharp left and strong ridge.
Post by snowlover91 on Aug 29, 2019 23:10:47 GMT -5
The key with Dorian is how much it slows down and when that north turn happens. We are talking a difference of 100 miles and it’s offshore moving up the coast vs inland. Rain and flooding may also be an issue.
Chances of a recurve are going up. You will likely still see some good winds but the trend is east so in 5 days this thing might be 200 miles offshore.