Well that Euro run was different....grazing landfall central FL then north to right of Sav then NE to Charleston then due east where it chills for a bit.....then maybe SW back to FL....but its not a good run lots of issues, almost no trough present on the Euro it just looks nothing like the GFS at 500
Toss the Euro it was a bad run, it was late due to a main frame crash and the run is gibberish....
Last Edit: Oct 4, 2016 14:28:50 GMT -5 by downeastnc
Yeah, ends up with the low in the GOM by the end of the run...so hit/graze Cape Canaveral FL as a Cat4/5 then north to just off Sav....then creeps up to just off Charleston then east were it hangs for a few panels weakening then SW back across south FL, then ending up deep south central GOM......the model was late coming out because the main frame crashed and they had to reboot it....
Like I've been saying all morning. This is all 90 hours out.....we still have a long time before this is settled out. No way this hits us IMO
Why would you make absolute statements like this, especially since it is 90 hrs out.....
My thinking is the 12Z guidance was west and everything bumped east except the Euro which was a bad run IMO, now the 18Z guidance is out and has shifted east so that means the GFS will end up back to the left some. The Euro and Ukie basically say what trough, its very weak and shallow and never really digs thus not lifting out the storm and allowing him to loop off the SE coast....this just seems unreasonable given the strong trough the Euro had u till this afternoons run, and the trough shown on GFS and CMC. Its gonna be there the real trick is how strong and fast does Matt get up the coast that will decide how far north he gets before getting pushed out the the east.