Fall/Spring 16-17 General Thread

Ron did you see how cold temps are too? It has DAYS with highs in the low 20s and a few mornings with low temps around 0 and single digits elsewhere. Wish this was at hour 48 and not 300+ lol.

The long range at 06 and 12Z were bad news...to much variability in the long range to take any given solution seriously....

Yeah we are in the thick of a major pattern change. So we can throw out any storm signals until we get into this new pattern. Models are always crazy right before a pattern change. But I like the chances of some rly good cold coming into December. Latest runs look rly flat lined no troughs rly besides the low pressures creating them as they move across. NO depth in the 500mb charts either. That would be a bad winter for us but I don't think it will be THAT flat.

Surface temps are marginal, not sure how much if any would stick.....06Z GFS  had 1" or so over Pitt Co......temps were mid 30's though

Don't want the low that close or strong, need it weak and strung out and moving ENE for this to work....

December 15-17th looks very interesting. We are only 144-180 hours out depending on which model you follow. 12z CMC was dry, GFS with snow flurries and Euro with snow and ice. All models have hinted off and on the past few days about this threat. Could be our first legit one to track.