The overall trend is crappy right now, the models seem to bounce back and forth between two waves and the timing of the cold getting here etc....its a mess.
Appreciate the updates. I tune in here every day for them.
The overall trend is crappy right now, the models seem to bounce back and forth between two waves and the timing of the cold getting here etc....its a mess.
Appreciate the updates. I tune in here every day for them.
Next week is going to be tough, the models seem to either have two legit systems and or trouble timing out the actual event......it seems less likely at this point at least for the Sun/Mon time frame though its still in play and it wouldn't take much for that to be a big dog snowstorm.....or a big ole rainstorm.....the second wave if legit is more intriguing as it would have plenty of cold and is currently well suppressed OTS...so plenty of room for that NW trend to occur and put us in the butter zone.....after that it looks like a warm and dare I hope stormy March could be in store.
Last Edit: Feb 27, 2019 3:11:54 GMT -5 by downeastnc
Appreciate the updates. I tune in here every day for them.
Next week is going to be tough, the models seem to either have two legit systems and or trouble timing out the actual event......it seems less likely at this point at least for the Sun/Mon time frame though its still in play and it wouldn't take much for that to be a big dog snowstorm.....or a big ole rainstorm.....the second wave if legit is more intriguing as it would have plenty of cold and is currently well suppressed OTS...so plenty of room for that NW trend to occur and put us in the butter zone.....after that it looks like a warm and dare I hope stormy March could be in store.
I think this is a non-event. A craptacular end to a craptacular winter.
There is going to be a big coastal storm Tues/Wed the question is how far west does it end up....I am totally happy with it staying suppressed for another 4 days and then let is slowly trend our way the last 24-36 hrs....anytime the models have a big snow for us 4-5 days out IT NEVER HAPPENS....so no snow over us right now is a good thing as long as the storm is showing suppressed to the east.
GFS trended much further south with the Sun/Mon storm....like almost putting NC back in play for snow.....gotta admit it is unexpected had wrote this storm off, the CMC also shifted south so lets see what the Euro does, if it goes south as well we may be seeing a rare trend to the SE that actually brings us the goods.....
Well Sun/Mon is gonna stay rain.....Tues/Wed though still in play, models have the system suppressed and slowly are trying to sharpen the trough which could let it come back west....honestly in this range I am still good with suppressed if it starts trending NW now it will end up in the Ohio Valley by Wed.....
Quick precip thump whizzes through and out of here hours ahead of schedule, as per usual, and it underperformed, also as per usual. I got .32" at my house, so far...but it looks like that'll pretty much be it. I don't think the weather could be more boring if we lived in San Diego.