Post by snowlover91 on Mar 7, 2016 23:49:43 GMT -5
Pretty stout ULL over Mexico and Texas this week according to the models. Will cause some severe weather issues. Long range the ensembles are hinting at a cool down for late March. Will it happen though?
Quite a cold shot starting around March 19th on the models, highs around 50 lows in the upper 30's then around 22nd we get lows around freezing with highs struggling into the mid 40's with a wedgey low.......after all this 70 degree weather we should be getting into leaf out, the Bradfords Pears are already budding....
Last Edit: Mar 9, 2016 15:42:23 GMT -5 by downeastnc
Quite a cold shot starting around March 19th on the models, highs around 50 lows in the upper 30's then around 22nd we get lows around freezing with highs struggling into the mid 40's with a wedgey low.......after all this 70 degree weather we should be getting into leaf out, the Bradfords Pears are already budding....
Question is does that cold shot modify as we get closer? Models have done that all year with an impressive cold shot in the LR only to modify it as we get closer.
Post by downeastnc on Mar 10, 2016 13:42:33 GMT -5
It has a quick 2-3 day cool shot but the last frame has a heck of a cold air mass in the Midwest and if it pans out we could see a freeze around the 27-28th but its the LR GFS however the indices support a cold snap as well
I'm all in on the 12z CMC. We get that system to dig just a bit more and that jackpot of 11 inches of snow slides south right over pgv. Already saying we get 3 inches......A 174 model forecast for snow in late march! Why not jump all in!!!
I'm all in on the 12z CMC. We get that system to dig just a bit more and that jackpot of 11 inches of snow slides south right over pgv. Already saying we get 3 inches......A 174 model forecast for snow in late march! Why not jump all in!!!
Wow from hours 120-144 it drops 3-8" of snow across the state depending on where you live. All depends on the track, timing and amount of cold air in place as always.
Meh chances of that happening are pretty darn low however on March 24th 1983 we got 7" of snow here so maybe we are due for a March surprise...
Yeah I HIGHLY doubt it will happen especially since the Canadian is the only model showing snow. You never know though and if it keeps showing that and other models hint at it then we might have something. GFS is well offshore but if closer to the coast like the CMC it might have a mix or some snow. Interesting to say the least, especially since it's only 120 hours out.
So we are gonna make a run at 90 today and then by Sunday be wedged in and lucky to hit 50 for a high...gotta love spring.
And a chance for some snow a few days later lol. I would love a good 3-4" wet snow event we need to watch the trends with this one. It probably won't happen but who knows. Wouldn't it be something if we get a good snow end of March but couldn't get one in the heart of winter lol.