March 11-13 ULL snow?

Token flakes would be nice

If the nams are right then I think it's becoming quite possible to see some big flakes flying at the very least.

Is this trending south?

Central and east central NC actually could get hit pretty hard all things considered.....it could be the perfect storm with the coastal being far enough OTS to only amp up what is a really powerful ULL.....this is the kind of system that gives you 4" of Carolina Concrete when you only expect a changeover with a sloppy inch if your lucky. I wouldnt get my expectations up for anything more than a few hrs of big fatties.....but if it plays out just right we could see a 1-2 hr band with seriously insane 1-3" a hr rates....back in the mid 90's we had that happen, it was drizzle and light rain all day and a heavier "deform" band formed over RDU and I-95 and as it headed east it went yellow and orange on radar and there was a 50-70 mile long N/S band of intense that snow. As the rates picked up it started to mix in mangled flakes and the temp dropped from 40 to 32-33 and the bottom fell out, flakes as big as your palm dumped on us for about a hr or so and the rates where heavy.....it even covered the roads which were wet and 40 when it started. Had 2-3" on the grass and cars maybe 1-2" in the yard, all in around 1-1.5 hrs. Even thundered a few times, and a hr after it stopped it was 38-40 and all the snow had melted. The only areas that saw the snow where in the heavier band 30 miles north or south of Greenville saw nothing, this was also in the first half of March. 

Then late this afternoon
and this evening colder air will begin to filter into the
region. This will coincide with the deformation zone of the
developing low moving over the area producing strong lift. At
this point the models increase precipitation amounts
significantly. The strong lift will occur over the Dendrite
Growth Zone producing the snow crystals needed for snow
production. The NAM soundings indicate an isothermal thermal
profile developing around 00Z with rain changing over to snow.
The 3km NAM is also indicating a banded almost convective look
to the precipitation during this time which would support the
concept of heavy precipitation/dynamical cooling and a change
over scenario. The SREF plume diagrams are indicating mean
snowfall accumulations around 1 inch across most of the area.
Temperatures are likely to be just above freezing though, which
will cause most of the snow to melt except for grassy surfaces
where a minor accumulation is possible.

bbcode image link

AKQ seems pretty bullish on the idea of a possible 1-2" this evening with the deformation band for my area. I'm quite surprised.