Post by downeastnc on Aug 28, 2017 20:12:53 GMT -5
Shear is way to high for anything to get going, I am actually surprised it looks as good as it does and its already becoming extra/non tropical in nature, really at this point it wont matter if its a 45 mph TS or not, the surface low and the incoming trough will help create a area of lift over NC.....if it all comes together it should spell heavy rain with the worst between I95 and Hwy 17, the same goes for the wind with the strong high over NE the winds are gonna kick up even more. Its already sustaining in the upper teens gusting to mid 20's over most of eastern NC, it wont be crazy windy but there could be a period of sustained winds in the 20's gusting into the 40's over the same area especially tomorrow when the surface low is over the sounds. The central and northern OBX might even see some gust into the 50's. You can really see the rains breaking out inland over the Carolinas well removed from the center of the "low" there really is no LLC left and there is almost zero chance one forms at this stage.
radar.weather.gov/radar.php?product=N0Z&rid=rax&loop=yes
