Almost midnight now, and I'm still sitting on .02".
Well-well, .23" since midnight. That was a surprise.
Forecast of .50 between 2 and 8pm yesterday and nothing then overnight it rained steady for a couple hours. We are in nags head today and it's cold with a very brisk NE. Blowing sand and sea fog are making their random passes by with reduced visibilities. Waves were recorded at 5.7 feet at jennette's pier.
Might get some more rain later tonight, but right now I'm sitting on 1.85" for the day -- my first genuinely thundery evening of the spring season. A very nice and welcomed milestone.
4:30 p.m. AFD out of Raleigh, concerning tomorrow (Sunday) night:
ANTICIPATE AN ACTIVE LINE OF T-STORMS TO CROSS INTO THE WESTERN PIEDMONT BETWEEN 01Z AND 04Z, REACHING THE HIGHWAY 1 CORRIDOR AROUND 06Z.WHILE STORMS NORMALLY WEAKEN OVERNIGHT DUE TO NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION, THESE STORMS MAY ACTUALLY INCREASE IN INTENSITY AFTER MIDNIGHT DUE TO THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY AND THE STRONG KINEMATIC FIELD. THIS MAY SET THE STAGE FOR TORNADIC T-STORMS TO OCCUR OVERNIGHT, A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS SITUATION SINCE MOST FOLKS WILL BE ASLEEP WHEN THE MOST ACTIVE WEATHER MAY BE OCCURRING.
Sounds like Friday will be pretty windy even before any severe threat materializes.
A very strong LLJ (>60 kt around 925 mb) will develop across the area as the stacked low passes inland, riding northward along the Appalachian chain Friday and Friday night. LLJ winds will readily mix to the surface during the day, bringing strong/gusty winds, especially to coastal areas. A wind advisory or warning may be needed for at least some of the area. From a severe weather perspective: Instability is the question as a moist prefrontal airmass will keep skies cloudy and there is potential for showers ahead of the primary band of convection, both inhibiting factors for the development of surface based instability. Still, shear is strong enough to justify a continued slight risk of severe weather from SPC,
Strong on dynamics, meager with the instability -- an eastern NC specialty.
That's the crazy part the SPC cites the weak instability then still goes ahead with the enhanced area......if we do get some sun and instability is any worse than forecast or a surface mesolow forms over the upstate/leeside of the mts then this could get very nasty, though anytime we have skinny cape and high shear there is also higher chances of getting nothing to get excited about.
Post by Fountainguy97 on Apr 22, 2019 13:06:12 GMT -5
Well it’s official! Me and my wife will be moving to Erwin, TN the first week of June! It’s only 20minutes across the NC/TN border and is in the mountains!
Hopefully a lot of the storm systems will overlap with you guys further east. My family is still in Greenville so I’ll be around if there is any major weather action! Haha