2017 Atlantic Hurricane Season Thread

Interesting to note, the 18z GFS trended a good bit North it seems with the track. Models are still having trouble with the details, as is expected this far out. I think the big key will be how quickly it organizes and strengthens. If it's stronger, faster like the CMC then Florida to LA better watch out. If it's broad and disorganized it won't feel the weakness and go into Mexico.

Interestingly the 18z para GFS now agrees with the CMC, as does the NAVGEM and Parallel Euro. The NAM also seems to be leaning that way too. Interesting. 

GFS has a cane off the Southeast coast in the long range. After its persistence and correctness with cindy its worth watching.

GFS and CMC both still hanging on to the idea the area of disturbed weather in the central atlantic eventually gets its act together and puts a storm in the west atlantic west of Bermuda.

para gfs is now on board as well

GFS has shown a system for several runs in a row again. solutions have varied from a NC landfall to a Caribbean runner right into Belize to a yucatan to mexico mainland hit. Latest 6z GFS says a 951mb low right into cape lookout. Guess we wait and watch.

I doubt it will ever develop.