Post by downeastnc on Aug 28, 2016 9:49:13 GMT -5
91L surprisingly exploded overnight and has been classified TD 8 with advisories starting at 11....awaiting the track info etc.....the stronger it gets the further west I think it makes it....the models keep it weak and it gets to the coast if it can get deeper the steering should have more effect on it....going to be tough for the NHC to make a call since the models do little with it...neat little tidbit...those clouds we have right now are actually blowoff of the storms firing over TD8 thats how close it is already...also the shear should let up some in the next 12 hrs and it will be over the gulf stream and it has a extremely well defined LLC.....if it does deepen and hit it will be one of the oddest approach angles I have ever seen resulting in a landfall.
edit: first track map from NHC pretty close to the models...and they keep it slow so that means the shear would keep it beat up most of the time.....or should a least...for this to have a chance it needs to go faster than 9-10 mph and beat the front, the HH should find TS Hermine when they get out there....
edit: first track map from NHC pretty close to the models...and they keep it slow so that means the shear would keep it beat up most of the time.....or should a least...for this to have a chance it needs to go faster than 9-10 mph and beat the front, the HH should find TS Hermine when they get out there....
