Really the last few years have not been good for NC. We have had a few good storms lime the July 1st storm 3 years ago but that was a rare event. I use to see 3-4 true severe storms a year now I might see one or 2 at best.
Post by snowlover91 on Jun 5, 2016 18:43:13 GMT -5
Latest SPC discussion. Seems the westerly component to the winds and departure of the forcing to our north is the reason for the lack of storms.
DISCUSSION...AS A SIGNIFICANT SHORT WAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO PIVOT NORTHEASTWARD THROUGH THE LOWER GREAT LAKES REGION...ASSOCIATED LARGE-SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT IS BECOMING INCREASINGLY DISPLACED FROM THE SOUTHERN MID ATLANTIC COAST REGION. IN LOWER-LEVELS...FLOW HAS BEEN MAINTAINING A SUBSTANTIAL WESTERLY COMPONENT ACROSS THE PIEDMONT INTO THE COASTAL PLAIN. AND APPRECIABLE BOUNDARY LAYER INSTABILITY HAS BECOME INCREASINGLY CONFINED TO THE SOUTHEAST VIRGINIA/NORTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA COASTAL PLAIN...WHERE APPROACHING STORMS FROM THE WEST COULD STILL INTENSIFY SOME THROUGH 00-02Z. AIDED BY POTENTIAL HEAVY PRECIPITATION LOADING AND DOWNWARD TRANSFER OF MOMENTUM ASSOCIATED WITH 30-40 KT DEEP LAYER MEAN FLOW...STRONGER STORMS COULD BE ACCOMPANIED BY POTENTIALLY DAMAGING WIND GUSTS BEFORE WEAKENING/SPREADING OFFSHORE BY 02-03Z.