Post by NCHurricane on Sept 22, 2019 15:48:47 GMT -5
Ensembles showing a chance of a blocking pattern forcing a stall or westward track towards the US. Not really a lot of operational support for that yet (except the Euro). Plenty of time to watch.
Post by downeastnc on Sept 23, 2019 9:53:17 GMT -5
That ridge we are trapped under is pretty stout there is a goods chance this thing ends up hitting Florida and into the GOM, I guess a run up the east coast at us is also possible but not modeled at all at this time...
Post by Fountainguy97 on Sept 23, 2019 14:59:29 GMT -5
Karen is a definite threat if she can survive. Right now Karen is really really struggling and models are losing her. BUT if she manages to be an entity outside of the Caribbean its possible we have a threat.